One Down, Two to Go
ZEC have finally completed issuing the results for the House of Assembly, and it looks like this:

There are still three seats left undeclared - they weren’t voted for on Saturday due to deaths by candidates. They’ll be filled by by-election later. Two of those seats are thought likely to go to MDC/Tsvangirai.
Overall, it’s a hung House - no one party has the 106 seats required to secure overall control. This means that whoever wins the Presidential vote will have to find a way to work with the MDC/Mutambara group if they want control - I’d like to think it’s unlikely they’ll team up with Zanu-PF, as the reason for being for both MDC factions is to get Zanu-PF out of power; logic would state that the two MDC factions should be able to work together quite well, as there are very few policy differences between them - but since the reason for the split was Tsvangirai himself, that can’t be taken for granted either. Whoever wins the Presidency, there’s some horse-trading to be done.
What Happens Next?
Despite the Presidency being the one everyone wants to hear about, ZEC in their infinite wisdom have decided to do the Senate next. That’s particularly strange given the Senate’s unusual makeup - there are 93 seats in the upper house, but only 60 of them are filled by open election. The remainder are appointed, either directly by the President or through routes where he could exercise considerable influence:
10 Provincial Governors (appointed by the President)
18 Traditional Chiefs (appointed by the Council of Chiefs in each Province)
5 direct Presidential appointments
That means that the Senate will likely go to whoever win the Presidential vote. To be sure of a majority there, a party would need to win 47 of the 60 elected seats, which given the vote distribution so far is highly unlikely. In truth, the results here are almost an irrelevance - but there seems to be a concerted effort going on to delay the Presidential results, so we’re probably looking at another 2 days to get the Senate out of the way.
